Teddy Atlas shares prediction on upcoming Deontay Wilder vs. Dominic Breazeale fight. Full Episode here: TEDDY'S SOCIAL MEDIA Tw. The Bronze Bomber fights Dominic Breazeale in Brooklyn in the early hours of Sunday morning, UK time, and, barring a huge upset, will inflict a second career defeat on the former IBF champ. Wilder is the 1/8 favourite for victory in the bout betting market, with Breazeale the.
Deontay Wilder (40-0-1, 39 KOs) vs. Dominic Breazeale (20-1, 18 KOs)
When: Saturday, May 18, 2019
Where: Barclays Center, Brooklyn, New York
TV: Showtime
Weight Class: Heavyweight Championship: 12 Rounds
Betting Odds: Deontay Wilder (-900) at (SportsBetting.ag), Dominic Breazeale (+650) (5Dimes)
Over/Under: Over 9.5 Rounds (+245), Under 9.5 Rounds (-290)
Fight Analysis:
Deontay Wilder defends his WBC Heavyweight title against Dominic Breazeale on May 18 in Brooklyn. It's not the fight everyone wanted—the rematch with Tyson Fury, but it's an important fight Wilder must win to secure that future date, To get there, Wilder will have to thwart the challenge of a big, committed fighter in Breazeale, a once-beaten contender whose only other loss came in a previous title shot to Anthony Joshua. The odds are pretty big in Wilder's favor, but not big enough to completely disregard the challenger's chances. How does this one turn out?
Wilder is the more established product, naturally, with this being his tenth world title bout. His last fight was a signature moment in contemporary heavyweight history—a draw against Tyson Fury. A lot of people thought Fury deserved the decision, but Wilder showed a lot in turning around a fight that wasn't going his way—first with a knockdown and then a big final round when he nearly took Fury's head off, only to see Fury somehow rise and finish the fight. On the strength of his knockdowns, he got the draw.
The Fury fight, his first real test with the top-shelf of heavyweight boxing, was a two-headed coin. As I suspected, Wilder's second-to-second boxing would pale in comparison to a more-natural fighter in Fury. And he was outweighed by nearly 50 pounds, coming in like a stick-figure at 6'7' and 209 pounds for that fight. But what we saw wasn't just punching power, as his 39 KOs in 40 wins suggests. It was world-class power with the ability to deliver it in a pinch. And if not for the otherworldly recuperative powers of Fury, it would have been enough. The fight exposed some things about Wilder. He can be outboxed, but we already knew that. In showing he can make his punching power manifest when things aren't going his way, he showed a certain air of quality that we weren't sure he had in a career where everything had gone his way.
Wilder looks big, but he's really just tall and long. In terms of weight, he is one of the smallest heavyweights to succeed at this high of a level for many decades. A late arrival to the sport of boxing, he lacks a certain level of naturalness and innateness you might see with more experienced fighters. What he lacks in those areas, he makes up for with pure punching power. It's just natural. And when he connects, things happen. He's hard to dissuade, and he can handle adversity. He's a tough, strong guy who can bring down buildings with his best shots. At 33, he is in his prime now, and this is the time to build his legacy.
Also 33, the rise of Breazeale was less-conventional. A former college quarterback; he was also a late-bloomer in the sport. Like Wilder, he overcame his lack of experience and made the Olympic team, though he didn't medal as Wilder did. A back-and-forth brawl with Amir Mansour in 2016 where he overcame a lot of hardship led to a 5th-round stoppage win, earning him a crack at Joshua. He fell in the 7th round. Three wins, all stoppages, have followed and have him in another big spot.
Breazeale is a big man, also 6'7' with a long reach and typically weighing in the 250-260 range. Coming from football, it took a lot of work for him to get into the Olympics and make himself a heavyweight contender. He is a fully-committed athlete with a lot of professionalism in his approach. And in the ring, he has shown a high level of drive and determination, along with some durability. Opponents aren't going to have a walk in the park with this guy, no matter how good they are.
At the end of the day, however, Breazeale is struck with a stubborn case of mediocrity. Not everyone gets an equal share of talent. And while Breazeale makes up for it to some extent with his work-ethic, devotion, and determination, he's simply not a tip-top athlete. There is no explosiveness to his boxing. He lacks the speed of hand and foot to trouble a boxer like Wilder, while also suffering from a power-deficit. He's strong more than he has punching power. He can't switch up gears, as he fights more or less at one speed.
Defensively is where the real concerns begin for the purposes of handicapping this fight. Again, kudos to Breazeale for getting this far. He just lacks the instincts of a fighter who was raised in the sport or one who was blessed from an athletic standpoint. With his size and the sheer availability to be hit with such a big target, Breazeale doesn't have much defense outside of his offense and reacting to opposing offense on the fly. It's not meant to impugn him as a fighter. But he's taking on one of the top guys. And at that level, Breazeale is a Ford going against a Ferrari.
Over/Under: Over 9.5 Rounds (+245), Under 9.5 Rounds (-290)
Fight Analysis:
Deontay Wilder defends his WBC Heavyweight title against Dominic Breazeale on May 18 in Brooklyn. It's not the fight everyone wanted—the rematch with Tyson Fury, but it's an important fight Wilder must win to secure that future date, To get there, Wilder will have to thwart the challenge of a big, committed fighter in Breazeale, a once-beaten contender whose only other loss came in a previous title shot to Anthony Joshua. The odds are pretty big in Wilder's favor, but not big enough to completely disregard the challenger's chances. How does this one turn out?
Wilder is the more established product, naturally, with this being his tenth world title bout. His last fight was a signature moment in contemporary heavyweight history—a draw against Tyson Fury. A lot of people thought Fury deserved the decision, but Wilder showed a lot in turning around a fight that wasn't going his way—first with a knockdown and then a big final round when he nearly took Fury's head off, only to see Fury somehow rise and finish the fight. On the strength of his knockdowns, he got the draw.
The Fury fight, his first real test with the top-shelf of heavyweight boxing, was a two-headed coin. As I suspected, Wilder's second-to-second boxing would pale in comparison to a more-natural fighter in Fury. And he was outweighed by nearly 50 pounds, coming in like a stick-figure at 6'7' and 209 pounds for that fight. But what we saw wasn't just punching power, as his 39 KOs in 40 wins suggests. It was world-class power with the ability to deliver it in a pinch. And if not for the otherworldly recuperative powers of Fury, it would have been enough. The fight exposed some things about Wilder. He can be outboxed, but we already knew that. In showing he can make his punching power manifest when things aren't going his way, he showed a certain air of quality that we weren't sure he had in a career where everything had gone his way.
Wilder looks big, but he's really just tall and long. In terms of weight, he is one of the smallest heavyweights to succeed at this high of a level for many decades. A late arrival to the sport of boxing, he lacks a certain level of naturalness and innateness you might see with more experienced fighters. What he lacks in those areas, he makes up for with pure punching power. It's just natural. And when he connects, things happen. He's hard to dissuade, and he can handle adversity. He's a tough, strong guy who can bring down buildings with his best shots. At 33, he is in his prime now, and this is the time to build his legacy.
Also 33, the rise of Breazeale was less-conventional. A former college quarterback; he was also a late-bloomer in the sport. Like Wilder, he overcame his lack of experience and made the Olympic team, though he didn't medal as Wilder did. A back-and-forth brawl with Amir Mansour in 2016 where he overcame a lot of hardship led to a 5th-round stoppage win, earning him a crack at Joshua. He fell in the 7th round. Three wins, all stoppages, have followed and have him in another big spot.
Breazeale is a big man, also 6'7' with a long reach and typically weighing in the 250-260 range. Coming from football, it took a lot of work for him to get into the Olympics and make himself a heavyweight contender. He is a fully-committed athlete with a lot of professionalism in his approach. And in the ring, he has shown a high level of drive and determination, along with some durability. Opponents aren't going to have a walk in the park with this guy, no matter how good they are.
At the end of the day, however, Breazeale is struck with a stubborn case of mediocrity. Not everyone gets an equal share of talent. And while Breazeale makes up for it to some extent with his work-ethic, devotion, and determination, he's simply not a tip-top athlete. There is no explosiveness to his boxing. He lacks the speed of hand and foot to trouble a boxer like Wilder, while also suffering from a power-deficit. He's strong more than he has punching power. He can't switch up gears, as he fights more or less at one speed.
Defensively is where the real concerns begin for the purposes of handicapping this fight. Again, kudos to Breazeale for getting this far. He just lacks the instincts of a fighter who was raised in the sport or one who was blessed from an athletic standpoint. With his size and the sheer availability to be hit with such a big target, Breazeale doesn't have much defense outside of his offense and reacting to opposing offense on the fly. It's not meant to impugn him as a fighter. But he's taking on one of the top guys. And at that level, Breazeale is a Ford going against a Ferrari.
Breazeale put his whole being into this. After coming up short against Joshua, this is his last chance to make a statement at the top levels, and one should expect him to perform accordingly. I just think he is in over his head. He lacks the speed, power, and skills to threaten Wilder, while his ponderousness, lack of speed, and availability make him an easy target for the Howitzer shots that Wilder can deliver. I expect him to be tough and resolute, but I see Wilder showing him the exit and doing so before the tenth round. I'm taking Wilder to win while taking a position on the 'under.'
My Prediction to Win the Fight:
I'm betting on Deontay Wilder to win at -900 and 'under' 9.5 rounds at -290. While tough, strong, and big, Breazeale lacks the acumen on offense and defense to compete well at this level. A serviceable contender to be sure, Breazeale is not championship-material. And his deficits in boxing skill, power, and defense will be brought to light in graphic fashion against Wilder. Bet your Wilder/Breazeale pick for FREE by taking advantage of a huge deposit bonus at an online sportsbook where your credit card will work for deposits: MyBookie!
Huge Betting Limits
Fast Payouts - Best Player Rewards
1% Cash Back
Pay less per bet &
get largest betting menu
Deontay Wilder will defend the WBC heavyweight championship against Dominic Breazeale on May 18, 2019 at the Barclays Arena in Brooklyn, New York.
Wilder was expected to either challenge unified heavyweight champion Anthony Joshua or rematch Tyson Fury but he ended up being ordered to fight his mandatory challenger, Dominic Breazeale.
Bronze Bomber
Known as the Bronze Bomber, Deontay Wilder is the first American world heavyweight boxing champion since Shannon Briggs in 2004. Wilder won the WBC belt with a unanimous decision win over Bermane Stiverne in 2015. The Bronze Bomber has since defended the title a total of eight times. In his last fight, Wilder fought lineal heavyweight Tyson Fury to a split draw.
I'm not much of a betting man but when it comes to betting on myself, I'm all in. #BombZquad#TilThisDay#WilderBreazeale#May18th ✊🏿 pic.twitter.com/s1Vs7iUhUb
— Deontay Wilder (@BronzeBomber) March 21, 2019
Wilder is 40-0-1 with 39 knockouts. The Bronze Bomber stand 6-7 and has a reach of 83 inches. The 33 year old from Tuscaloosa, Alabama has a 95% knockout rate and has recorded 19 first round knockouts.
Wilder
-600
Breazeale
+400
Odds from bet365.com as of 4/3/19
Trouble
If Wilder is the Bronze Bomber, Dominic Breazeale is Trouble. Like Wilder, he fought in the Olympics. Breazeale was a competitor in the super heavyweight division at the 2012 London Olympics where he lost in the preliminary round. 'Trouble' won his first 17 bouts, including a back and forth war with Amir Mansour which saw him getting dropped in round three.
The 33-year old from Glendale, California is also 6-7 with a reach of 81 ½ inches. Breazeale has a record of 20-1 with 18 knockouts. His only loss came against current unified heavyweight champion Anthony Joshua in 2016 where he lost via 7th round TKO. Since the loss, Breazeale has won three straight bouts all by stoppage.
Who Wins?
This fight could go either way really with both boxers possessing incredible punching power. This is the heavyweight division where only one punch can win a fight. But between Wilder knocking Breazeale out and the other way around, the former is likely going to happen.
While Breazeale has the punching power, he doesn't have the kind of athleticism that Wilder possesses. The Bronze Bomber is light on his feet, has quick movement and fast hands. Meanwhile, Breazeale is plodding when he moves forward and he does so on a straight pattern. He is slow with his punches and can easily be timed, especially with a brilliant fighter like Wilder. He also walks forward, trying to walk his opponent down. But sometimes he does so with his head down. Wilder is a wild swinger. His detractors call him the windmill for throwing wild punches. That's where Breazeale can come in but I don't think he's fast enough to find those holes. Enough said. I think Deontay Wilder is too powerful, too athletic and too fast for Breazeale. I think Wilder also has the better chin. I'm picking Deontay Wilder to win by knockout.
Other Bets To Make
Because this one's a major bout, even if Wilder's foe isn't, there are plenty of proposition bets for this bout. To know what prop bets are in boxing betting, click here. But yeah, here are some of the prop bets at bet365 which I like:
If you're betting for Wilder:
Not all of us are Deontay Wilder fans but let's face it, love or hate him, almost everyone thinks he's going to win here. This is just one of those set-up bouts where the promoters are trying to marinate a bigger fight ahead. So unless Wilder gets careless here, which would be unlikely, he a sure winner against Breazeale. So while betting on Wilder at the moneyline odds is the safest bet in this bout, it's gonna cost you a lot at -600.
Wilder Vs Breazeale Prediction
If you are sure about Deontay Wilder winning, then you might as well get him here at -200. Look only one out of Wilder's 39 wins have come via decision and he's gone the distance only twice in 41 bouts. No question, Wilder's gonna get a knockout here. So bet on the line below:
Fight Outcome: Wilder by KO,TKO or Disqualification -200
Round Betting
- Round 1-3 +550
- Round 4-6 +300
- Round 7-9 +300
- Round 10-12 +550
- Go the Distance +225
Three out of Breazeale's last four bouts went to Round 7, 8 and 9. These were his fights against quality opponents in Anthony Joshua, Eric Molina and Carlos Negron. Having lasted 7 rounds against AJ and 8 against Molina, I think Breazeale can last as long against Wilder, that is if he isn't caught with that bazooka right hand early. But yeah, if you want to make a bet with plus money, and that bet isn't one that has Breazeale winning, this may be it for you. Prediction: Rounds 7-9
Best Bets To Make:
When you have a world champion like Deontay Wilder who has otherworldly punching power and you pit him against a big tomato can like Breazeale (sorry for the description), you don't get to have plus money on a good bet. That said, the over/under betting here could be the one for you.
Total Rounds: Over 9.5 +137, Under 9.5 -188
Wilder has gone over 9.5 rounds only three times in 41 bouts and these were against Bermane Stiverne ( the better version), Artur Szpilka, Luis Ortiz and Tyson Fury. Of course Ortiz and Fury are his last two bouts but you can't compare Breazeale's quality to both. So Deontay's basically been past 9.5 only twice against middle to low-level opponents.
On the other hand, Breazele's been past 9.5 just once in his career and in his last bout against Carlos Negron. But yeah, Breazeale just went six seconds past 9.5 rounds and was knocked out by Negron. So I say under 9.5 rounds here at -188 is the best bet for this bout.
If you need a safer bet other than Wilder winning this fight at -600, then the one below might interest you:
Will the fight Go The Distance: Yes +225, No -300
Wilder has knocked out 39 out of 41 opponents while Breazeale has stopped 18 out of 20 foes. That's 57 knockouts in 61 fights or a 93.44% knockout rate. I mean both men have bricks as fists and throw their hands like cannons. I have no doubt this fight isn't going the distance. Not at all. I'm picking the fight not to go the distance at -300.
Wilder Vs Breazeale Prediction
